Export citation

Export citation

Choose format for download:

Download Citation
  • Access by Xinjiang University

Excursion set for primordial black holes: White noise and moving barriers

Pierre Auclair1,*, Baptiste Blachier2,†, and Vincent Vennin3,‡

  • *Contact author: pierre.auclair@iap.fr
  • Contact author: baptiste.blachier@uclouvain.be
  • Contact author: vincent.vennin@ens.fr

Phys. Rev. D 114, 063504 – Published 8 September, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/clgf-sqv8

Abstract

In the excursion-set formalism, the mass distribution of primordial black holes (PBHs) is derived from the first-passage time of a random walk describing the density contrast as the coarse-graining scale varies. We address two recent concerns that have been raised about this approach. First, it was argued that the random walks are subject to colored (i.e. correlated over time) noise, making the first-passage-time problem cumbersome. We show that this arises from an incorrect separation of drift and noise when sampling on the Hubble-crossing surface: if Fourier modes are uncorrelated, the noise is strictly white. Moreover, sampling along the Hubble-crossing surface precludes using the density dispersion as a time variable, explaining some pathologies. Sampling instead on a synchronous surface removes both issues. This requires solving a first-passage-time problem with a moving barrier, for which we provide an efficient numerical framework. Second, it was suggested that cloud-in-cloud (i.e. that large black holes may engulf smaller ones) is irrelevant for PBHs and that the excursion set is therefore not needed. While valid for widely separated scales, this statement fails for broad power spectra with enhanced continua of modes. We further show that Press-Schechter estimates neglecting boundary evolution can break down even without cloud-in-cloud effects.

Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

Article Text

References (96)

  1. B. J. Carr and S. W. Hawking, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 168, 399 (1974).
  2. B. J. Carr, Astrophys. J. 201, 1 (1975).
  3. G. F. Chapline, Nature (London) 253, 251 (1975).
  4. P. Meszaros, Astron. Astrophys. 38, 5 (1975), https://inspirehep.net/literature/105066.
  5. N. Duechting, Phys. Rev. D 70, 064015 (2004).
  6. M. Kawasaki, A. Kusenko, and T. T. Yanagida, Phys. Lett. B 711, 1 (2012).
  7. T. Chiba and S. Yokoyama, Prog. Theor. Exp. Phys. 2017, 083E01 (2017).
  8. E. Bagui et al. (LISA Cosmology Working Group), Living Rev. Relativity 28, 1 (2025).
  9. J. Antoniadis et al. (EPTA and InPTA Collaborations), Astron. Astrophys. 685, A94 (2024).
  10. A. Afzal et al. (NANOGrav Collaboration), Astrophys. J. Lett. 951, L11 (2023).
  11. H. Niikura et al., Nat. Astron. 3, 524 (2019).
  12. H. Niikura, M. Takada, S. Yokoyama, T. Sumi, and S. Masaki, Phys. Rev. D 99, 083503 (2019).
  13. S. Sugiyama, M. Takada, and A. Kusenko, Phys. Lett. B 840, 137891 (2023).
  14. A. Escrivà, F. Kuhnel, and Y. Tada, 10.1016/B978-0-32-395636-9.00012-8 (2022).
  15. W. H. Press and P. Schechter, Astrophys. J. 187, 425 (1974).
  16. J. M. Bardeen, J. R. Bond, N. Kaiser, and A. S. Szalay, Astrophys. J. 304, 15 (1986).
  17. S. Young and M. Musso, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 11 (2020) 022.
  18. D. Inman and Y. Ali-Haïmoud, Phys. Rev. D 100, 083528 (2019).
  19. M. Tkachev, S. Pilipenko, and G. Yepes, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 499, 4854 (2020).
  20. M. Trashorras, J. García-Bellido, and S. Nesseris, Universe 7, 18 (2021).
  21. J. A. Peacock and A. F. Heavens, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 243, 133 (1990).
  22. R. G. Bower, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 248, 332 (1991).
  23. J. R. Bond, S. Cole, G. Efstathiou, and N. Kaiser, Astrophys. J. 379, 440 (1991).
  24. M. Shibata and M. Sasaki, Phys. Rev. D 60, 084002 (1999).
  25. I. Musco, Phys. Rev. D 100, 123524 (2019).
  26. A. Escrivà, C. Germani, and R. K. Sheth, Phys. Rev. D 101, 044022 (2020).
  27. A. Escrivà, Universe 8, 66 (2022).
  28. K. Jedamzik, Astrophys. J. 448, 1 (1995).
  29. A. Kushwaha and T. Suyama, arXiv:2509.25871.
  30. P. Auclair and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 02 (2021) 038.
  31. A. Moradinezhad Dizgah, G. Franciolini, and A. Riotto, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 11 (2019) 001.
  32. V. De Luca, G. Franciolini, and A. Riotto, Phys. Lett. B 807, 135550 (2020).
  33. P. Auclair and B. Blachier, Phys. Rev. D 109, 123538 (2024).
  34. G. L. Dizon, Phys. Rev. D 112, 123024 (2025).
  35. H. Kameli and E. Erfani, arXiv:2508.01896.
  36. Y. Akrami et al. (Planck Collaboration), Astron. Astrophys. 641, A9 (2020).
  37. D. Saito and K. Tokeshi, arXiv:2512.22075.
  38. A. Paranjape, T. Y. Lam, and R. K. Sheth, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 420, 1429 (2012).
  39. M. Musso and A. Paranjape, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 420, 369 (2012).
  40. M. Musso and R. K. Sheth, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 438, 2683 (2014).
  41. F. Nikakhtar, M. Ayromlou, S. Baghram, S. Rahvar, M. R. Rahimi Tabar, and R. K. Sheth, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 478, 5296 (2018).
  42. S. Young, C. T. Byrnes, and M. Sasaki, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 07 (2014) 045.
  43. C. Germani and I. Musco, Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 141302 (2019).
  44. I. Musco, V. De Luca, G. Franciolini, and A. Riotto, Phys. Rev. D 103, 063538 (2021).
  45. M. Shimada, A. Escrivá, D. Saito, K. Uehara, and C.-M. Yoo, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 02 (2025) 018.
  46. R. Inui, C. Joana, H. Motohashi, S. Pi, Y. Tada, and S. Yokoyama, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 03 (2025) 021.
  47. A. Escrivà, Phys. Dark Universe 50, 102177 (2025).
  48. A. Escrivà, Phys. Rev. D 112, 103527 (2025).
  49. J. Sureda, J. Magana, I. J. Araya, and N. D. Padilla, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 507, 4804 (2021).
  50. H. C. Tuckwell and F. Y. M. Wan, J. Appl. Probab. 21, 695 (1984).
  51. A. Buonocore, A. G. Nobile, and L. M. Ricciardi, Adv. Appl. Probab. 19, 784 (1987).
  52. J. Zhang and L. Hui, Astrophys. J. 641, 641 (2006).
  53. A. Molini, P. Talkner, G. Katul, and A. Porporato, Physica A 390, 1841 (2011).
  54. V. Giorno, A. G. Nobile, L. M. Ricciardi, and S. Sato, Adv. Appl. Probab. 21, 20 (1989).
  55. V. Strassen, Numer. Math. 13, 354 (1969).
  56. W. H. Press, Numerical Recipes 3rd Edition: The Art of Scientific Computing (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England, 2007).
  57. J. Alman, R. Duan, V. V. Williams, Y. Xu, Z. Xu, and R. Zhou, More asymmetry yields faster matrix multiplication, in Proceedings of the 2025 Annual ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA) (2025), pp. 2005–2039, 10.1137/1.9781611978322.63.
  58. M. W. Choptuik, Phys. Rev. Lett. 70, 9 (1993).
  59. J. C. Niemeyer and K. Jedamzik, Phys. Rev. Lett. 80, 5481 (1998).
  60. I. Musco, J. C. Miller, and A. G. Polnarev, Classical Quantum Gravity 26, 235001 (2009).
  61. I. Musco and J. C. Miller, Classical Quantum Gravity 30, 145009 (2013).
  62. T. Harada, C.-M. Yoo, T. Nakama, and Y. Koga, Phys. Rev. D 91, 084057 (2015).
  63. J. Yokoyama, Phys. Rev. D 58, 107502 (1998).
  64. A. M. Green and A. R. Liddle, Phys. Rev. D 60, 063509 (1999).
  65. C. Germani and R. K. Sheth, Universe 9, 421 (2023).
  66. S. Pi and J. Wang, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 06 (2023) 018.
  67. G. Domènech, G. Vargas, and T. Vargas, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 03 (2024) 002.
  68. M. Cielo, G. Mangano, O. Pisanti, and D. Wands, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 04 (2025) 007.
  69. V. Briaud, A. Karam, N. Koivunen, E. Tomberg, H. Veermäe, and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 05 (2025) 097.
  70. R. Saito and J. Yokoyama, Prog. Theor. Phys. 123, 867 (2010); 126, 351(E) (2011).
  71. S. Sugiyama, V. Takhistov, E. Vitagliano, A. Kusenko, M. Sasaki, and M. Takada, Phys. Lett. B 814, 136097 (2021).
  72. V. De Luca, G. Franciolini, and A. Riotto, Phys. Rev. Lett. 126, 041303 (2021).
  73. J. Fumagalli, J. Garriga, C. Germani, and R. K. Sheth, Phys. Rev. D 111, 123518 (2025).
  74. S. Young, Int. J. Mod. Phys. D 29, 2030002 (2019).
  75. S. Pi and M. Sasaki, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 09 (2020) 037.
  76. S. Pi, M. Sasaki, V. Takhistov, and J. Wang, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 09 (2025) 045.
  77. D. B. Owen, Commun. Stat. 9, 389 (1980).
  78. C. Pattison, V. Vennin, H. Assadullahi, and D. Wands, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 10 (2017) 046.
  79. G. Franciolini, A. Kehagias, S. Matarrese, and A. Riotto, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 03 (2018) 016.
  80. J. M. Ezquiaga, J. García-Bellido, and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 03 (2020) 029.
  81. K. Ando and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 04 (2021) 057.
  82. D. G. Figueroa, S. Raatikainen, S. Rasanen, and E. Tomberg, Phys. Rev. Lett. 127, 101302 (2021).
  83. Y. Tada and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 02 (2022) 021.
  84. N. Kitajima, Y. Tada, S. Yokoyama, and C.-M. Yoo, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 10 (2021) 053.
  85. S. Hooshangi, M. H. Namjoo, and M. Noorbala, Phys. Lett. B 834, 137400 (2022).
  86. M. Biagetti, V. De Luca, G. Franciolini, A. Kehagias, and A. Riotto, Phys. Lett. B 820, 136602 (2021).
  87. A. D. Gow, H. Assadullahi, J. H. P. Jackson, K. Koyama, V. Vennin, and D. Wands, Europhys. Lett. 142, 49001 (2023).
  88. S. Raatikainen, S. Räsänen, and E. Tomberg, Phys. Rev. Lett. 133, 121403 (2024).
  89. H. Firouzjahi and A. Riotto, Phys. Rev. D 108, 123504 (2023).
  90. C. Animali and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 08 (2024) 026.
  91. V. Vennin and D. Wands, arXiv:2402.12672.
  92. J. H. P. Jackson, H. Assadullahi, A. D. Gow, K. Koyama, V. Vennin, and D. Wands, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 04 (2025) 073.
  93. A. Ianniccari, A. J. Iovino, A. Kehagias, D. Perrone, and A. Riotto, Phys. Rev. D 109, 123549 (2024).
  94. C. Animali, P. Auclair, B. Blachier, and V. Vennin, J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. 05 (2025) 019.
  95. P. Auclair, FOREST: FOrtran Recursive Exploration of Stochastic Trees (2025), 10.5281/zenodo.15235931.
  96. S. Choudhury, Int. J. Mod. Phys. D 34, 2544023 (2025).

Outline

Information

Sign In to Your Journals Account

Filter

Filter

Article Lookup

Enter a citation